S&P 500 3rd Quarter Earnings Update

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October was a stormy down month. November, despite ending up 2%, was a rollercoaster-like month and December is shaping up to be another volatile month. Investor confidence has been shaken. Now would be a good time to look at fundamentals that underpin the market and it doesn’t get any more basic than earnings. At the end of the day, earnings and earnings projections are an integral part of what drive market returns – the price … Read More

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Market Corrections Are Expected

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I started my career in serving individuals and entities and their investment needs in November 1982, so 36 years in, I can reflect on this October’s volatility as just another one of these kind of crazy, yet to-be-expected episodes where the equity markets, or some other market(s), create considerable stress for many investors. While US and International equity returns are very attractive over the long term, we often forget that there will be periods of … Read More

S&P 500 Earnings Update and Trade Resolution

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Recent volatility in equity markets has been attributed to rising interest rates and concerns that U.S. equities will be unable to maintain what has been historically strong earnings growth. U.S. equities have sharply outperformed their international peers year-to-date, and much of that outperformance stems directly from strong earnings numbers, which have been bolstered by a robust U.S. economy and the effects of corporate tax cuts. At the end of the day, earnings and earnings projections … Read More

2018 Q3 Quarterly Report

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Economic Commentary The US economy continued to hum along in Q3 with very low unemployment and optimism from consumers and businesses alike. The fiscal stimulus has helped boost 2018 consumer spending fueling goldilocks US economic growth with mild inflation, halting immediate worries of an overheating economy which could have led to overzealous rate raising from the Federal Reserve (Fed). It has also led to a decoupling of US economic expectations from the rest of the … Read More

US High Yield Bonds Serving An Unusual Role

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For fixed income investors, 2018 has been a bit of a rocky road. While the S&P 500 is up 10.3% year-to-date, the fixed income landscape has had its share of difficulties. U.S. high yield has managed to quietly miss much of the pain that has hit Emerging Market Bonds, as well as higher quality U.S. corporate bonds and U.S. treasuries. U.S. high yield, as represented by the iShares iBoxx High-Yield ETF (HYG), is up +2.09% … Read More